The
Keystone Pipeline – To Build or Not To Build
By C.W. Smoke ©
2013
James
Hansen, the former NASA climatologist, who left NASA recently to
actively advocate for climate change remedies, one of the first
scientists to alert us to climate change/global warming back in
the 1980s, and Bill McKibben, the founder of 350.org
(named for the ideal maximum allowable 350 parts per million of
carbon dioxide in the atmosphere), both claim (backed by scientific
evidence) that the Keystone XL pipeline is the 'tipping point' for
anthropogenic (man made) climate change, and if built, will drive
us past the point where we can hope to control global warming.
Since we currently have no economical method for removing large amounts of
carbon dioxide from the atmosphere, to alleviate the negative
effects of climate change, ideally, all the remaining fossil fuels should be
left in the ground, but with our current addiction to fossil fuels,
leaving all the oil in the ground is probably not feasible. In an
ideal world the fossil fuel industry would not be actively blocking
our transition to renewable energy simply to make more money, and we
would have already made the transition to renewable energy, but this
is not an ideal world. So, we must use our (global) oil reserves
wisely and make the price of that oil reflect the actual cost of
refining and burning it. The true price would reflect the
additional environmental and health costs. The true price would also
reflect that tar
sands oil is three to four times dirtier than regular crude and
will release three to four times more carbon dioxide into the
atmosphere when refined and burned. Just as the true price of
'fracking' (hydraulic fracturing) the oil shales (using the current,
inadequately regulated, unsafe methods that contaminate our ground
water) will include the costs of the additional pollution and the
destruction of our limited fresh water supplies. If the current
unsafe methods for extracting and transporting fossil fuels continue
to be used without modification, then, in the not too distant future, clean drinking water could be
worth more than gold. Do we want to take the risk that millions more folks will die from thirst
just so big oil can make a profit?
The argument that the Keystone
XL pipeline will create 'thousands' of permanent jobs has been
thoroughly debunked. While the pipeline will create some
temporary jobs (4500 to 6000) as it is being built, most of those jobs will go to
oil company employees who are already currently employed, and the
total number of permanent jobs has been shown to be a grand total of
fifty. Only fifty permanent jobs! Other arguments promoted by
the pro-pipeline folks are that the Keystone XL pipeline will make
America 'energy independent', and that its construction will
decrease the price of gasoline. Both these statements are also
false. First, the only U.S. citizens, who will benefit from this
increase in dirty tar sands oil being pumped across our heartland are
folks, like Charles and David Koch, who own the oil refineries at
the end of the pipeline in Texas. The refined oil will be shipped
abroad. We are, in fact, using more tar sands oil now than we will
after the pipeline is built because it is incredibly inefficient (read expensive) to ship the
unrefined tar sands oil by rail, truck, or tanker over extended
distances. The tar sands oil that is currently being transported by
these methods is only shipped over short hauls, and we have
the use of it in some of our Canadian border states like North
Dakota which has a small refinery to convert the dirty tar sands oil
to gasoline. Once the pipeline is built these 'sources' of tar sands
crude will literally dry up as all of the tar sands oil will
be pumped to Gulf refineries. Did you know that tar sands oil is one
of the dirtiest fuels on the planet, and that it is extremely difficult to
clean up after pipeline spills because tar sands oil sinks in water?
Second, the world price of oil is set by the oil cartels. The big oil
companies sell gasoline at market rates, and they will not decrease their
profits by selling it at a lower rate. Big oil has even
routinely kept loaded tankers offshore, waiting for the price of oil to rise before
they dock. Do you think that they will act any differently once the pipeline
is built? American taxpayers are absorbing all the risks (tar sands pipeline
spills, water and soil contamination, and increased global
warming) while reaping none of the rewards. Big oil gets the money, and we,
the people get the shaft.
As the (tar sands pipeline spills) Buzzfeed/Truthout article reports:
Enbridge is responsible for 804 pipeline spills totaling 6.8 million
gallons of oil since 1999, according to the Polaris Institute. That
includes the Kalamazoo spill, where 800,000 barrels of oil gushed
for l7 days and where cleanup costs were $800 million — so
far; cleanup isn’t done. The ecological impact, health impact,
and insurance economic impact, in terms of lost property values and
rising insurance costs, have never been calculated.
Apparently OFA (Organizing for Action), the Obama grassroots
political action group, while advocating for climate change remedies
and 'getting after' climate change deniers, is distancing
itself from the presidential decision on whether to build the
Keystone XL pipeline. CREDO, another progressive political action
group, is opposed to the pipeline being built because (they rightly
believe as do the reputable climate scientists) Keystone is the
lynchpin, the tipping point that will drive us into irreparable
climate change disaster if it is built. Make no mistake. If the
pipeline is not built, the big oil companies will lose billions of
(US) dollars, and if it is built, then we all will lose, our health,
our clean air and water, and our (habitable) planet. If the current pace of
global warming is not slowed significantly or halted entirely,
eighty percent of the species currently living on our planet will
become extinct due to the rapidity (in geological time) of the
temperature changes and the resulting extreme climates that will be
generated by these rapid changes.
The effects of global
warming will not be a regular, steady drip like the melting of
an ice cube in your kitchen sink. More heat in the atmosphere and
oceans will cause catastrophic surges in climate and ocean rise as
huge events that cannot be predicted by the current climate models
happen sporadically (i.e. great glacial or polar ice shelf chunks
fall into the ocean or the jet streams go wild), dumping huge
amounts of wind, precipitation, and sea level rise in unexpected
places. A good analogy concerning tipping points is the process of a dam bursting. Water
pressure builds up behind the dam as the water rises. When the water
undercuts the dam and/or the structural capacity of the dam to hold
back the weight/pressure of the water is exceeded, a tipping point
is reached, the water weight causes a structural collapse, the dam
bursts, and water comes rushing through. Another good analogy is the
process of water boiling. Not much happens at first except an
increasing temperature until the water nears its boiling point.
Then, suddenly, gas bubbles erupt and the water becomes turbulent as
the additional heat wreaks havoc with the water, a tipping point is
reached, and the water begins to boil. We are very close to that
tipping point with global warming.
(Note: During the comments, when I posted this on Daily Kos, there was concern about too much hype over a 'tipping point'. To date there are nine positive feedback loops that accelerate climate change. One example is the melting of the Arctic ice. Less ice means less surface 'white' which translates to less heat reflection and more heat absorption. To reach a positive reading a feedback loop must be self sustaining, hence the positive reading. The Arctic ice melt is now self sustaining. For each of these feedback loops to become positive a tipping point must be reached. We have already passed and exceeded nine tipping points. At some point if enough tipping points are exceeded, global warming will be self sustaining. It will be unstoppable. Why bring the tar sands oil to market and burn it? Why even chance it when, as reputable scientists have already concluded, it will be yet another 'tipping point'? It does not make sense to gamble the future of our planet simply for the fossil fuel industry to make more money. We can't drink money. We can't eat money, and we sure as hell can't breathe money.)
The Obama administration's rationale for deciding whether or not
to build the Keystone XL pipeline is currently based upon the State
Department's environmental impact study, and the reason that the
State Department is even involved at all in the decision is that the
pipeline will cross our northern border with Canada, involving
national security. Two aspects of the State Department study,
however, are flawed. The first, is that the
study is authored by the oil consulting firm, Environmental
Resources Management (ERM - whose ties to TransCanada are conveniently
redacted by the State Department in the study). ERM is a TransCanada
contractor known to be sympathetic to Enbridge, the pipeline builder
and to the conservative Canadian government, who are also pushing to
get the pipeline built, commissioning
a $16 million, taxpayer funded, public relations campaign that
studiously ignores the facts and the environmental impacts of
constructing and operating the pipeline. Canadian officials have
also traveled to the United States, visiting the House and the
Senate and even the President to promote the Keystone XL pipeline.
The result of those visits (and of the fossil fuel industry flexing
its political muscle) has been a nonbinding amendment to the budget
voted
on by the U.S. Senate 62-37 in favor of building the pipeline,
and the U.S. House also voted
241-175 in favor of HR-3 a similar bill. However, the
decision whether to build the Keystone XL pipeline rests entirely
with President Barack Obama. Over
one million public comments were filed with the State Department
during its public comment period (and, incidentally, hidden
from the public's view in an unprecedented manner by the oil
company consultant, ERM, who is handling the review for the State
Department) with the majority, including
a response from the EPA, disputing the alleged 'facts' in the
State Department environmental study. The main thrust of the
State Department environmental impact study is to conclude that if
the Keystone XL pipeline is not built, the tar sands oil will
still find its way to market. The study fails to account for the
Canadian environmental groups and native American tribes who
strenuously oppose the pipeline being built upon their tribal lands
in Canada, thereby blocking any alternate pipeline routes built to
Canada's west coast for transporting the tar sands oil
ultimately for sale to China. The study also erroneously concludes
that sans the Keystone XL pipeline, the oil companies will ship the
tar sands oil by rail, truck, or tanker to reach its ultimate
destination, but if that fact were true, then they would already be
shipping the tar sands oil on a much larger scale to the Texas
refineries since the pipeline has been delayed for more than three
years.
(Note: Since this was published, British Columbia with its Native Indian tribes and environmentalists has blocked all tar sands pipelines being built upon its land, effectively killing any Canadian west coast expansion of the tar sands pipelines.)
So, now we get to the point where the 'rubber meets the road'.
The decision whether to build the Keystone XL pipeline to carry
the dirty tars sands oil across the American heartland rests solely
with President Obama, who has repeatedly stated
in public during his second inaugral speech that he believes in
global warming and the science behind it, and that he will follow
the science to halt and/or reverse global warming.
“We, the people, still believe that our obligations as
Americans are not just to ourselves, but to all posterity.
We will respond to the threat of climate change, knowing that
the failure to do so would betray our children and future
generations. Some may still deny the overwhelming judgment
of science, but none can avoid the devastating impact of raging
fires, and crippling drought, and more powerful storms.
The path towards sustainable energy sources will be long and
sometimes difficult. But America cannot resist this
transition; we must lead it. We cannot cede to other
nations the technology that will power new jobs and new
industries – we must claim its promise. That is how
we will maintain our economic vitality and our national treasure
– our forests and waterways; our croplands and snowcapped
peaks. That is how we will preserve our planet, commanded
to our care by God. That’s what will lend meaning to
the creed our fathers once declared.” ~ President Barack
Obama
If, as he states, his goal is to use science (not money or
politics) to influence his decision regarding Keystone and global
warming, then President Obama's choice is clear: He must reject
the Keystone XL pipeline because, according to science, the
Keystone XL pipeline should not be built, and the dirty tar sands
oil should remain unburned, in the ground.
However, if our President decides to build the Keystone XL
pipeline, siding with big oil, their money and political
influence, while rejecting science, and if he has only commissioned the State Department 'study' to reach a foregone conclusion, then Barack Obama can no
longer claim that he is anything more than a 'corporate' politician,
who works with/for the fossil fuel industry to the detriment of
everyone else. The Keystone XL pipeline is the cornerstone issue
regarding climate change to a large part of his
political base, and he will lose popular
support and GOTV (Get Out The Vote) political activism, weakening OFA, just before the 2014
midterms (similar to 2010 with its lackluster base support that gave the GOP
the House and a number of Republican governorships), not
a pleasant scenario if the Democrats plan to take back the House and
hold onto the Senate...